Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.047017 0.054863 0.063487 0.073654 0.085293 0.098183 0.113522
2025-05-04 0.034537 0.044597 0.056687 0.072217 0.091561 0.114779 0.144666
2025-05-11 0.026712 0.037713 0.052005 0.071773 0.098222 0.132177 0.178820
2025-05-18 0.020730 0.031736 0.047075 0.069733 0.102014 0.145947 0.209755
2025-05-25 0.016561 0.027297 0.043239 0.068216 0.105835 0.159714 0.241848
2025-06-01 0.013867 0.024440 0.041063 0.068511 0.111929 0.176955 0.280331
2025-06-08 0.011365 0.021360 0.037952 0.066741 0.114418 0.188845 0.311829
2025-06-15 0.010276 0.020427 0.038092 0.070077 0.125161 0.214223 0.366253
2025-06-22 0.008852 0.018613 0.036414 0.070032 0.130190 0.230837 0.408136
2025-06-29 0.007440 0.016541 0.033928 0.068146 0.131712 0.241631 0.441222
2025-07-06 0.006397 0.014995 0.032156 0.067262 0.134782 0.255161 0.479917
2025-07-13 0.005977 0.014667 0.032677 0.070754 0.146180 0.284165 0.547888
2025-07-20 0.005477 0.014097 0.032673 0.073308 0.156271 0.312090 0.617065
2025-07-27 0.004668 0.012665 0.030653 0.071493 0.157657 0.324146 0.658434
2025-08-03 0.004071 0.011617 0.029296 0.070868 0.161320 0.340787 0.709787
2025-08-10 0.003464 0.010413 0.027390 0.068765 0.161636 0.350892 0.749397
2025-08-17 0.002984 0.009433 0.025840 0.067225 0.162929 0.362967 0.793775
2025-08-24 0.002667 0.008835 0.025118 0.067496 0.168174 0.383476 0.856636
2025-08-31 0.002296 0.007995 0.023644 0.065740 0.168625 0.393972 0.899761
2025-09-07 0.002189 0.007927 0.024175 0.069025 0.181076 0.431069 1.001349
2025-09-14 0.001959 0.007420 0.023440 0.068978 0.185615 0.451320 1.068612
2025-09-21 0.001694 0.006734 0.022088 0.067117 0.185533 0.461285 1.114327
2025-09-28 0.001495 0.006224 0.021154 0.066245 0.187788 0.476680 1.173149